Paul Dietrich's Global Investing Trends Report
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How Does Foxhall Consider Investments?

Posted April 22, 2008 · 0 Comments
One of the ways we consider investments at FOXHALL CAPITAL is by trying to find and invest in long-term trends in the global marketplace. I often call these long-term trends, GLOBAL SUPERCYCLES. Recently, at the WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM in Davos, Switzerland, Herb Meyer gave an important lecture to a very select group of invited global CEOs of major international corporations on some of the KEY GLOBAL TRENDS, unfortunately not often covered in the mainstream media. read more

When Do You Think Commodities And Asian Markets Will Start Going Up?

Posted September 4, 2008 · 31 Comments
At Foxhall Capital we “follow trends” rather than try to predict short-term stock market ups and downs. People tend to have short memories—In August 2007, oil prices dropped about 20%—just as they have this year after first climbing to new highs. I remember receiving calls from investors asking if they should move their portfolios out of commodities like oil and gold. read more

Why Are Prices Of Oil Continuing To Go UP?

Posted April 28, 2008 · 1 Comment
Why is the price of oil continuing to go up? There are a number of reasons for high oil prices. The most important is “SUPPLY AND DEMAND” created by the growing consumption of newly developed countries in Asia and Latin America, like China, India, Mexico and Brazil. China is now the second largest car market in the world. Another reason is that oil is priced in “DOLLARS PER BARREL” and when the dollar drops in value, the price of oil automatically goes up, because it takes more dollars to buy the same barrel of oil. read more

Long-term Investment Trends: Higher Inflation – Higher Food Prices

Posted April 26, 2011 · 13 Comments
For thirty years, food has been decreasing as a percentage of family expenditures. Unfortunately, that trend is over. read more

Is the Summer Stock Market Correction Over?

Posted July 6, 2011 · 16 Comments
Since the stock market started to decline in late April, I have been telling readers of this Foxhall Global Outlook that we were experiencing a normal and healthy stock market correction—and that is what it has turned out to be. read more

How Long Could It Take to Recover Portfolio Declines from over the Past Few Months?

Posted November 3, 2011 · 0 Comments
I know when the stock market is going down, everyone gets very anxious and I understand investors' concern and worry over recent portfolio declines. read more

An Investment Paradox for 2012

Posted March 2, 2012 · 0 Comments
Oscar Wilde once said, "To expect the unexpected shows a thoroughly modern intellect." TO EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED may be the best advice for investors in 2012. read more

Stock Market Update—Foxhall Stays Cautious & Defensive!

Posted June 12, 2012 · 0 Comments
After the elections in Greece next week, stock markets will be on another financial crisis deathwatch, as speculation will grow as to when Greece will default on its remaining debt and leave the euro-zone. read more

The Lost Decade

Posted March 31, 2010 · 0 Comments
Since the beginning of this year, 2010, through March 15th, the S&P 500 Index is up only about 3%. Almost every American knows that the U.S. Economy is not very strong. Are we going to be stuck in a sideways stock market? How long do you think that will last? Historically, transition periods going from recessions into bull markets are highly volatile and fraught with possible dangers for investors. read more

Following The Long Term Trends

Posted July 10, 2008 · 0 Comments
I know the FOXHALL “DEFENSIVE STRATEGY” in bear markets is made up of (1) bonds, (2) foreign currency funds to offset the falling U.S. Dollar and (3) oil, energy, metals, mining, agriculture and other commodities and basic materials funds. BUT, OVER THE PAST TWO WEEKS COMMODITIES HAVE DECLINED PRECIPITOUSLY. AGRIBUSINESS COMMODITY FUNDS are down this month 6%. STEEL FUNDS are down over 9% and METALS AND MINING FUNDS are down over 12%. It is hurting your FOXHALL performance. I thought commodities were supposed to go up when the stock market was going down. read more

What Keeps The Market Going Up?

Posted July 17, 2007 · 0 Comments
For months, the business press has been saying the stock market was heading into a bear market. But during the past few trading sessions both the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Index have logged historic record highs. Why is the market going up? THE ECONOMY IS DOING WELL. As I have repeatedly talked about in my weekly newsletters, in the short run, the stock market can often be out of sync with the economy, but in the long run, the stock market always follows the broad economy. This is what determines long-term stock market trends. In the long run, if the economy is basically doing well, the stock market goes up. If the economy is substantially slowing and going into a recession, the stock market will go down following the long-term trend in the economy. That is really all one has to know in order to do well in investing. read more

Commodities and the Stock Market Have Been Declining for 10 Days. Is This a New Bear Market or Just a Correction?

Posted May 18, 2011 · 109 Comments
One of the main reasons for the steep correction is that commodity exchanges around the world raised margin requirements four times in 10 days to discourage speculators investing with borrowed money on margin. This forced many leveraged investors out of the market. read more

How Will What is Happening in Libya, Affect Oil and Gasoline Prices Here in the U.S.? Are Gas Prices Going to Continue to Go Up?

Posted March 29, 2011 · 1 Comment
Gasoline prices have been steadily moving up for several months, and a majority of Americans are feeling the pain at the pump. The big question is, what is really driving gas prices up? read more

The Current Status of This Summer’s Stock Market Correction

Posted September 6, 2011 · 0 Comments
As I have mentioned before, in my opinion everything that has caused this summer’s stock market correction has been the result of global political issues—not company fundamentals. We know from history that when the stock market declines because of A REACTION TO POLITICAL ISSUES, the stock market usually bounces back very quickly once those political issues are resolved. read more

It Has Been a Tough Year! Where Do We Go From Here?

Posted December 28, 2011 · 0 Comments
As we near the end of this year, it is a time for reflection. What did we do right and what did we do wrong over the past year? read more

The First Six Months Of 2013

Posted July 18, 2013 · 0 Comments
Over the past six months, we have seen the U.S. stock market climb to new highs and excellent per­formance. At the same time, Asian and emerging markets, gold and global commodities have severely underperformed. read more

Will Gas And Oil Prices Keep Rising?

Posted December 31, 2007 · 0 Comments
My clients keep asking me if oil and gasoline prices are going to continue to rise. Will they ever go back down? In the long run, oil and gas prices will continue to go up and Americans must prepare themselves to spend a higher percentage of their household budgets in the future on gasoline, heating oil and food (more about food in another issue of this newsletter). Oil and gas prices are being driven by two LONG-TERM INVESTING TRENDS. read more

Risk Management

Posted January 19, 2010 · 6 Comments
The primary goal of Foxhall Capital’s investment philosophy and our Offensive-Defensive Investment Strategy is designed to limit and minimize any significant loss in our client’s investment portfolios—especially during historically volatile transition periods coming out of a bear market/recession. read more

China's Super Cycle

Posted August 18, 2008 · 0 Comments
Discovering a potentially lucrative super cycle, Dietrich thinks, is a lot easier than uncovering -- and investing early in -- the next mega-company such as Google. Super cycles reflect long-term trends based on global transformations, demographics, supply and demand pressures. Some examples: health care, because of the aging boomer population; and energy and food, because of swelling demand from emerging economies. read more

The New Bull Market Has Begun!

Posted July 24, 2009 · 24 Comments
As of today, July 24, 2009 Foxhall Capital is switching to its Offensive Investment Strategy for stock markets in the United States, Europe and other Developed Markets and for the Pacific Rim and Emerging Markets. Our proprietary Foxhall Capital Trend Recognition Technology™ indicators have formally reversed this week from a bear market to a bull market. (See Chart 1) These historic trend directional changes only happen four to six times in a decade read more

Stock Market Update: The Summer Doldrums

Posted June 2, 2011 · 83 Comments
One of the characteristics of the “summer doldrums” is that the stock market tends to go up and down during this period in a side-ways pattern. That is what we are seeing right now. read more

5 Long-term Investment Mega-trends That Will Change America & the World!

Posted March 27, 2013 · 0 Comments
As the United States is slowly emerging from what has been called the “Great Recession,” investors need to clearly distinguish the differences between the U.S. economy and the U.S. stock market. They are very different and cannot be thought of in the same way. read more

Foxhall Capital’s View On The Debt Ceiling Political Drama

Posted July 19, 2011 · 0 Comments
A number of people have asked me will Foxhall Capital employ any defensive measures, like going to cash if our brave political leaders continue to “play chicken” with the debt ceiling. read more


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About Paul Dietrich
Paul Dietrich is the Chairman, CEO and Co-Chief Investment Officer of Foxhall Capital Management, Inc. (Foxhall).  Foxhall currently manages investments for individuals, mutual funds and private institutions throughout the United States. Paul Dietrich is also a portfolio manager to a publicly traded mutual fund, the Foxhall Global Trends Fund.
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