Paul Dietrich's Global Investing Trends Report
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What Will the U.S. Economy Look Like During the Next Bull Market?

Posted November 2, 2009 · 16 Comments
You said in your last Foxhall Global Outlook that this economic recovery would be different than previous bull markets. Why is that and which investments will do well and which investments should we avoid? As I have said before, this is going to be a unique and uneven recovery. Last week we saw days when the stock market went up in triple digits and then the next day dropped in triple digits. This is not uncommon during the transition from a recession to a new long-term bull market. read more

What Will The Market Do From Now Until The End Of The Year?

Posted October 3, 2007 · 0 Comments
You were right about the stock market going through a typical summer pull-back, since it has now bounced back to its recent record highs in July. What will the stock market do from now until the end of the year? PATIENCE IS ALWAYS A VIRTUE One of the behavioral characteristics of professional investors is an ability to resist getting caught-up in the emotions of the stock market as it reacts to the most current daily drama being spotlighted in the news! Professionals keep their concentration focused like a laser on those specific indicators that actually drive the fundamentals of the stock market over time. read more

Anything Is Possible

Posted November 16, 2009 · 1 Comment
A number of commentators on television keep saying the economy may go up for a while but then could slip into a new recession early next year. Do you think that is possible? Anything is possible, but it would be historically contrary to almost every recovery since 1950. read more

When Will The Recession End?

Posted April 30, 2009 · 0 Comments
The stock market has rallied over the past 5 weeks. Is this the beginning of the new bull market or is this a bear market rally that will be followed by new stock market lows? When do you think this bear market recession will end? Economists often say that the stock market always starts to go up before the “real economy” recovers and often goes up before a recession ends. That is only partially true. read more

2008 A Year In Review

Posted December 30, 2008 · 1 Comment
2008 Was Not A Great Year. Few tears will be shed at 2008’s passing—at least from an investment perspective. 2008 began with a business slowdown and is ending with the world caught in the grip of the most severe economic recession since the Great Depression. All this is happening in the context of a world in the throes of extraordinary change, and a planet that is morphing into one economy. read more

The Start Of A New Bull Market Can Be Choppy

Posted September 8, 2009 · 1 Comment
Almost all economists now agree that the recession is probably over and the consensus is that the U.S. Economy will grow at least 2% in the second half of this year. Home sales have started to inch up from a very low base, even though foreclosures continue to increase each month and home prices nationwide have a bit further to fall. read more

Should The Big Drop In The Dow Be Of Concern?

Posted November 4, 2007 · 0 Comments
Last Thursday the DOW JONES INDEX dropped more than 362 points or 2.6%, its fourth-worst trading day of the year. Should this be a cause of concern? No, this drop was largely the reaction of big institutional investors to the financial services sector, which makes up a large percentage of the DOW. As the WALL STREET JOURNAL said, they were punishing big banks and brokerage firms like Citigroup, Bank of America, Merrill Lynch, Smith Barney and Bear Stearns. These big banks and brokerage firms have been widely criticized in the press for lending billions of dollars to hedge funds on margin who were relending money to mortgage companies who were pushing loans to some people who had no jobs, no credit and no prospect of every paying them back. read more

How Does Foxhall Consider Investments?

Posted April 22, 2008 · 0 Comments
One of the ways we consider investments at FOXHALL CAPITAL is by trying to find and invest in long-term trends in the global marketplace. I often call these long-term trends, GLOBAL SUPERCYCLES. Recently, at the WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM in Davos, Switzerland, Herb Meyer gave an important lecture to a very select group of invited global CEOs of major international corporations on some of the KEY GLOBAL TRENDS, unfortunately not often covered in the mainstream media. read more

When Do You Think Commodities And Asian Markets Will Start Going Up?

Posted September 4, 2008 · 31 Comments
At Foxhall Capital we “follow trends” rather than try to predict short-term stock market ups and downs. People tend to have short memories—In August 2007, oil prices dropped about 20%—just as they have this year after first climbing to new highs. I remember receiving calls from investors asking if they should move their portfolios out of commodities like oil and gold. read more

Why Is Global Investing Important?

Posted May 5, 2008 · 0 Comments
One of my clients asked me why global investing was important. Are there any studies that definitively explain the importance of global diversification in a client’s investment portfolio? YES—GLOBAL DIVERSIFICATION IS A MUST! After your grandmother told you as a child to always “buy low and sell high,” she also probably reminded you “not to put all of your eggs in one basket”—at least that’s what my grandmother used to tell me! That is the underlying timeless wisdom of global diversification. read more

How Can Foxhall Be Up When The Asian Stock Market Is Down?

Posted June 5, 2008 · 34 Comments
You are right; almost every Asian stock market is down year-to-date. As of last week, the Dow Jones China Broad Market Index was down over 33% year-to-date. It was down earlier in the year almost 40%. The Honk Kong Index was down over 21% and the Saigon Stock Exchange was down 50%. Chinese Stock Markets are down over 33%. read more

Will the Slowdown In The U.S. Affect Asian Markets

Posted July 10, 2007 · 0 Comments
THE U.S. ECONOMY IS STILL GROWING! First, note that the U.S. economy is doing quite well. While it is not growing as fast as it was in 2003, it is still growing. Barring some international geo-political crisis, the U.S. economy and the U.S. stock market should continue to make gains over the next three years. But to answer your question, how would a U.S. economic downturn affect Asia? The answer is that the continuing rise in Asian domestic demand, more diversification in exports, and a looser monetary policy give Asia some armor against any future U.S slowdown. read more

Is South Korea Rising?

Posted January 29, 2008 · 0 Comments
While the rise of China makes all the news, investors sometimes forget how crucially important South Korea is in Asia’s stunning economic development. During my recent trip to Seoul, South Korea, I visited with a number of that country’s top economists and stock market analysts. Over and over again, I heard that investors throughout the world do not understand just how important South Korea is to Asia’s economic growth. read more

Active Investments And Buy-And-Hold Investments

Posted September 27, 2007 · 0 Comments
How do I explain to my clients, the difference between “ACTIVE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT” and “BUY-AND- HOLD INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT?” An important new academic study, “SECTOR ROTATION AND MONETARY CONDITIONS,” which is slated for publication in the prestigious JOURNAL OF INVESTING early next year, gives new academic confirmation to the FOXHALL investment management strategy of “active investment management.” read more

What Is Happening With Banks And How Does It Affect Our Investments?

Posted September 16, 2008 · 0 Comments
We saw the Dow Index drop 500 points in one day this week. What is happening with the banks and how does that affect our investments? First, all of the Foxhall Capital portfolios are almost exclusively invested in U.S. government treasury bonds and money markets. The bonds are fully guaranteed by the US Government. Even our Foxhall Capital individual stock and bond accounts are now fully invested in U.S. government bonds and money markets. read more

The Economy Is Doing Well

Posted June 12, 2007 · 0 Comments
Although it has taken over seven years, the S&P 500 INDEX recently broke through and surpassed its high from the year 2000. However, U.S. stocks took a beating this past week, because-well,-THE ECONOMY IS DOING TOO WELL. Why would there be a sell-off in the stock market if the economy is doing well? I know that doesn’t make any sense to most investors, but this is the reasoning. Most economists and Wall Street insiders thought that slowing corporate earnings, the sub-prime mortgage debt crisis, and slowing real estate and new housing markets would force the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. And lower interest rates are usually good for the stock market. read more

Will The Presidential Election Affect The Economy?

Posted November 7, 2008 · 0 Comments
We are now living through the most serious economic crisis since the Great Depression. Warren Buffett has called this crisis the economic equivalent to Pearl Harbor. The economy clearly affected the presidential race. But how will the election results affect the stock market? It is true that past performance is no indication of future performance, but it’s hard to resist looking back at how the markets have responded to presidential politics. read more

Managing Investments In A Volatile Market

Posted May 18, 2010 · 1 Comment
Investors hate corrections or any stock market drop. But in the long run it is far more healthy and stable to have a stock market that is running in tandem with the fundamentals of the U.S. economy. read more

Distinguishing The Stock Market From The Underlying U.S. Economy

Posted June 28, 2010 · 65 Comments
It is important to always distinguish the stock market from the underlying U.S. economy. The underlying economy has not changed. It is still growing at a mediocre annual growth of about 3%. read more

Stock Market Update: The Summer Doldrums

Posted June 2, 2011 · 83 Comments
One of the characteristics of the “summer doldrums” is that the stock market tends to go up and down during this period in a side-ways pattern. That is what we are seeing right now. read more

Commodities and the Stock Market Have Been Declining for 10 Days. Is This a New Bear Market or Just a Correction?

Posted May 18, 2011 · 109 Comments
One of the main reasons for the steep correction is that commodity exchanges around the world raised margin requirements four times in 10 days to discourage speculators investing with borrowed money on margin. This forced many leveraged investors out of the market. read more

What Are the Long-term Consequences to Investors Here in the United States of the Tsunami and Nuclear Power Crisis in Japan and the Uprisings in Libya and Through-out the Middle East?

Posted March 16, 2011 · 43 Comments
Most economists in Japan believe, the efforts to rebuild homes, businesses and highways should offset any dampening effects and possible even spark economic growth. read more

Five Big Risks Hang over the Economy in 2012

Posted January 3, 2012 · 1 Comment
WE ALL HOPE 2012 WILL BE A BETTER AND EASIER YEAR FOR INVESTORS! Unfortunately, many of the same risks that plagued us in 2011 will be with us, at least for the first six months of the new year. read more

The First Six Months Of 2013

Posted July 18, 2013 · 0 Comments
Over the past six months, we have seen the U.S. stock market climb to new highs and excellent per­formance. At the same time, Asian and emerging markets, gold and global commodities have severely underperformed. read more

What Investments Are Expected To Grow Over The Next 5 Years?

Posted November 9, 2009 · 0 Comments
What Investments Will Be Growing Over The Next 5 Years? Despite the retrenchment of companies associated with U.S. consumer spending, there will be companies and industries that, I believe, will experience historic growth in their stock prices. read more


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About Paul Dietrich
Paul Dietrich is the Chairman, CEO and Co-Chief Investment Officer of Foxhall Capital Management, Inc. (Foxhall).  Foxhall currently manages investments for individuals, mutual funds and private institutions throughout the United States. Paul Dietrich is also a portfolio manager to a publicly traded mutual fund, the Foxhall Global Trends Fund.
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