Paul Dietrich's Global Investing Trends Report

Foxhall Capital’s View On The Debt Ceiling Political Drama

Posted July 19, 2011 · 0 Comments
A number of people have asked me will Foxhall Capital employ any defensive measures, like going to cash if our brave political leaders continue to “play chicken” with the debt ceiling. read more

Is the Summer Stock Market Correction Over?

Posted July 6, 2011 · 16 Comments
Since the stock market started to decline in late April, I have been telling readers of this Foxhall Global Outlook that we were experiencing a normal and healthy stock market correction—and that is what it has turned out to be. read more

What is the Status of This Summer’s Stock Market Correction?

Posted June 15, 2011 · 8 Comments
Investors have always had very short memories. They forget that the Dow Jones Industrials plunged 13.6% last year in the spring, but the Dow is currently only down a little over 6% below its April 29th peak. At FOXHALL we are trend followers and as trend followers we also track shorter cycles within the overall stock market. read more

Stock Market Update: The Summer Doldrums

Posted June 2, 2011 · 83 Comments
One of the characteristics of the “summer doldrums” is that the stock market tends to go up and down during this period in a side-ways pattern. That is what we are seeing right now. read more

Commodities and the Stock Market Have Been Declining for 10 Days. Is This a New Bear Market or Just a Correction?

Posted May 18, 2011 · 109 Comments
One of the main reasons for the steep correction is that commodity exchanges around the world raised margin requirements four times in 10 days to discourage speculators investing with borrowed money on margin. This forced many leveraged investors out of the market. read more

Long-term Investment Trends: Higher Inflation – Higher Food Prices

Posted April 26, 2011 · 13 Comments
For thirty years, food has been decreasing as a percentage of family expenditures. Unfortunately, that trend is over. read more

Long Term Investment Trend: The Declining U.s. Dollar--How Will It Impact My Investment Portfolio?

Posted April 7, 2011 · 21 Comments
I believe the single greatest threat to investors over the next five to ten years is the “loss of buying power or loss of purchasing power” from inflation, which is another way of saying the U.S. dollar, is losing value. read more

How Will What is Happening in Libya, Affect Oil and Gasoline Prices Here in the U.S.? Are Gas Prices Going to Continue to Go Up?

Posted March 29, 2011 · 1 Comment
Gasoline prices have been steadily moving up for several months, and a majority of Americans are feeling the pain at the pump. The big question is, what is really driving gas prices up? read more

What Are the Long-term Consequences to Investors Here in the United States of the Tsunami and Nuclear Power Crisis in Japan and the Uprisings in Libya and Through-out the Middle East?

Posted March 16, 2011 · 43 Comments
Most economists in Japan believe, the efforts to rebuild homes, businesses and highways should offset any dampening effects and possible even spark economic growth. read more

A Review Of the 2010 Stock Market, Foxhall's Performance And Predictions For 2011

Posted January 11, 2011 · 69 Comments
Given the difficulty in managing money while riding on the 2010 stock market roller coaster, I am very pleased that all of Foxhall’s EQUITY strategies produced POSITIVE RETURNS in 2010. read more

Protecting The Buying Power Of Your Portfolio In The New Investment Environment

Posted December 10, 2010 · 4 Comments
This Global Outlook newsletter may be the most important one I have ever written. We are making an historic shift into a new investment environment over the next five years and every investor needs to prepare for these changes. read more

Why Foxhall Capital's Risk Management Strategies Are So Important!

Posted July 2, 2010 · 3 Comments
As we end the second quarter of this year, the stock market is still in the process of regressing to the long-term trend of the underlying economy. Based on how overvalued the stock market was before this correction, I believe the stock market may continue to correct for the next few months. This is why Foxhall Captial's risk management strategies are so important! read more

Distinguishing The Stock Market From The Underlying U.S. Economy

Posted June 28, 2010 · 65 Comments
It is important to always distinguish the stock market from the underlying U.S. economy. The underlying economy has not changed. It is still growing at a mediocre annual growth of about 3%. read more

Managing Investments In A Volatile Market

Posted May 18, 2010 · 1 Comment
Investors hate corrections or any stock market drop. But in the long run it is far more healthy and stable to have a stock market that is running in tandem with the fundamentals of the U.S. economy. read more

Preserve, Defend and Protect

Posted May 7, 2010 · 0 Comments
Are the stock market declines over the past two weeks the beginning of a major stock market correction? I have been warning in these Foxhall Global Outlook newsletters since last November that we were historically due for a significant stock market correction. read more

The Lost Decade

Posted March 31, 2010 · 0 Comments
Since the beginning of this year, 2010, through March 15th, the S&P 500 Index is up only about 3%. Almost every American knows that the U.S. Economy is not very strong. Are we going to be stuck in a sideways stock market? How long do you think that will last? Historically, transition periods going from recessions into bull markets are highly volatile and fraught with possible dangers for investors. read more

Risk Management

Posted January 19, 2010 · 6 Comments
The primary goal of Foxhall Capital’s investment philosophy and our Offensive-Defensive Investment Strategy is designed to limit and minimize any significant loss in our client’s investment portfolios—especially during historically volatile transition periods coming out of a bear market/recession. read more

Anything Is Possible

Posted November 16, 2009 · 1 Comment
A number of commentators on television keep saying the economy may go up for a while but then could slip into a new recession early next year. Do you think that is possible? Anything is possible, but it would be historically contrary to almost every recovery since 1950. read more

What Investments Are Expected To Grow Over The Next 5 Years?

Posted November 9, 2009 · 0 Comments
What Investments Will Be Growing Over The Next 5 Years? Despite the retrenchment of companies associated with U.S. consumer spending, there will be companies and industries that, I believe, will experience historic growth in their stock prices. read more

What Will the U.S. Economy Look Like During the Next Bull Market?

Posted November 2, 2009 · 16 Comments
You said in your last Foxhall Global Outlook that this economic recovery would be different than previous bull markets. Why is that and which investments will do well and which investments should we avoid? As I have said before, this is going to be a unique and uneven recovery. Last week we saw days when the stock market went up in triple digits and then the next day dropped in triple digits. This is not uncommon during the transition from a recession to a new long-term bull market. read more

Trend Following Is The Secret To Successful Investing

Posted September 24, 2009 · 1 Comment
My clients are very grateful that Foxhall Capital protected them from most of the stock market declines over the past year and a half. I know Foxhall went from its defensive investment strategy of largely treasury bonds back into the stock market and its offensive investment strategy on July 24th, but you missed a lot of the stock market run-up from March through July by staying in bonds. How do I explain this to my clients? read more

The Start Of A New Bull Market Can Be Choppy

Posted September 8, 2009 · 1 Comment
Almost all economists now agree that the recession is probably over and the consensus is that the U.S. Economy will grow at least 2% in the second half of this year. Home sales have started to inch up from a very low base, even though foreclosures continue to increase each month and home prices nationwide have a bit further to fall. read more

The New Bull Market Has Begun!

Posted July 24, 2009 · 24 Comments
As of today, July 24, 2009 Foxhall Capital is switching to its Offensive Investment Strategy for stock markets in the United States, Europe and other Developed Markets and for the Pacific Rim and Emerging Markets. Our proprietary Foxhall Capital Trend Recognition Technology™ indicators have formally reversed this week from a bear market to a bull market. (See Chart 1) These historic trend directional changes only happen four to six times in a decade read more

Active Investment Management In The New Bull Market

Posted June 26, 2009 · 1 Comment
Every area of the world has a unique historical stock market pattern when it is making major directional changes, for example, emerging from a long-term bear market or descending from a bull market into a bear market. read more

Foxhall Trend Recognition Technology

Posted May 22, 2009 · 0 Comments
The proprietary Foxhall Trend Recognition Technology© has two very different, but complimentary investment trend recognition strategies that we use to exit the stock market when it is entering a long-term bear market/recession and another methodology to identify new long-term bull markets after a severe bear market. read more


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About Paul Dietrich
Paul Dietrich is the Chairman, CEO and Co-Chief Investment Officer of Foxhall Capital Management, Inc. (Foxhall).  Foxhall currently manages investments for individuals, mutual funds and private institutions throughout the United States. Paul Dietrich is also a portfolio manager to a publicly traded mutual fund, the Foxhall Global Trends Fund.
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